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BIG MARLEY’S UFC 227 BETTING PREVIEW

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BIG MARLEY’S UFC 227 BETTING PREVIEW

There’s a good deal of money to be obtained this week DraftKings including a top prize of $30k from the main tournament. DK also has lots of Qualifier competitions available this week, in which the final event will pay $50k to 1st for those who did qualify to perform inside. I’ll be chasing those as well since we’ve never had a $50k 1st place prize and I want it. I do think we’ve got a fun card that Saturday and that I am ready to enter this 3-week break with a winning night at UFC 227. Listed below are a couple plays I like this weekend along with my fade of the week.
Cash Game play of this week — Demetrious Johnson ($9,400)
Demetrious Johnson is the most powerful play in all DFS MMA and he’s the highest ceiling as well. DJ is your P4P best fight in the world (not counting Jon Jones) and he’s already beat Cejudo once before. This is the first person I am plugging into my cash LU this week and I suggest you do exactly the same. DJ is almost sure to score at 100-points in a triumph, and he’s got a -550 betting line stating he must get the win again here. Play it safe and use DJ in cash. It’s possible to stack this battle also, but I think DJ is essential.
GPP drama of the week — Thiago Santos ($9,200)
This is a good fight to goal this week since it most likely will not go to a decision. Holland just fought on the Contender Series a few weeks back and did not get a contract. But today he is about the PPV against one of the most bizarre strikers in the division. The ITD lineup for Santos is currently -210 and the below 1.5 rounds gambling line is -160. That tells me Vegas believes this battle ends ancient and Santos is the guy which should pick up the end. At $9.2k, he readily pays that price tag off at a 1st round win and I think he has a solid shot at doing just that. I really don’t care for him as much in cash game formats however because both guys have quite low flooring, so this is a GPP just play for me personally.
Underdog drama of the week — Brett Johns ($7,400)
I believe everyone is composing Brett Johns following his loss to Aljo Sterling and that is why he’s so economical on DraftKings this weekend. Together with the wrestling fashion Johns brings to the table, he’s 100+ upside even in a decision triumph. Of course, we’re worried about him getting caught in a guillotine when he shoots for takedowns, but if he can avoid that I believe he could win this battle and 10x his wages with a triumph. I don’t think Johns will wish to hit with Munhoz for 15-minutes so I do believe he is going to be shooting takedowns. Those takedowns could get him submitted, or else they may get him a triumph on the scorecards. But this makes him a boom or bust play and that is why he’s a good underdog to pick in GPPs this past week.
Fade of this week — Danielle Taylor ($7,500)
Even in a cheap $7.5k on DraftKings, Taylor will still require a finish to pay that price tag off with her fashion. She’s the worst style potential for scoring DraftKings stage and even if she’s a triumph here she could end up scoring significantly less than several losers on the card. Taylor is going to be the least possessed fighter in GPPs this week, so if you would like to spend your money on a 115 pound woman with a”punchers chance” of winning you a GPP, then you will be quite contrarian taking that path. However, I have no interest in investing my money into that so I will have Taylor in 0 of my lineups this week. If I was making 150 lineups, I’d still complete fade Taylor here.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle about the card and give my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
http://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

Read more: dannycaliff.com

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