This weekend, we have a 12-fight PPV card in Brazil. DraftKings has some solid competitions for us to win a lot of money from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy and $30k goes to 1st place with a total of $150k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier only competition for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they will compete for a $50k first location cost and that $175k will be spread out between all 100 admissions that match. I will try to get my 3rd chair this week to maximum it if I can. Those Qualifier only contests can be actual bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those overly hard. I’ll probably stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw a handful of entries at the $30k decoration, and then I will likely take a couple shots at the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to get a fantastic quantity of play into cash games.
With that said, let us get into a few plays I like this week along with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of this week — Raoni Barcelos — $9,600
Barcelos is the cash game play on for me . On the betting line he’s now -1100 and he’s -206 to win ITD. He’s additionally +110 to win in round 1. He’s my favorite play on the plank, the sole real issue is being able to afford him. For cash games, I will for sure fit him . For GPPs it’s going to be more difficult to get 6 wins paying up for his huge salary, but I like him as well. I simply will not make it a priority to get him into these championship lineups, but money I want that -1100 in my group to get a secure win.
GPP drama of the week — Ryan Spann — $8,800
This is a battle I like to target. My favorite play is Spann however Little Nog is in play as well. The best thing for FDGTD is -280 and that I think Spann could win via KO or sub, and it could be 1st round as well. I think he can compete with the 9k fighters and that he is a guy that kicks them off the 1st place lineup. Small Nog is the better fighter however and Spann does not have a great chin , so I could see Nog winning via KO. I really don’t think that’s probably, so I won’t be heavy on himbut he can make my player pool. Spann is a guy I think is in play in all formats and that I will try to be obese on him. It’s more of a grin on Small Nog at this time, but I really don’t see this battle going all 3-rounds and I enjoy Spann to find the win.
Underdog drama of the week — Alex Volkanovski — $7,800
On DraftKings, I expect Volkanovski to be quite chalky and rightfully so. He’s my preferred play in this battle and his past scores pretty much make him a man you can’t fade if you’re MMEing. I really don’t see him using the ceiling he did in his previous fights vs Aldo, but those numbers are hard to ignore. His 6 UFC wins have every totaled over 100 DK points. From most recent struggle to his debut, these are his DK scores: 107, 100, 129, 116, 107, and 115. That’s pretty amazing. I think he has a fantastic chance of upsetting the legend and possibly getting a finish for another score. I really don’t think Aldo is a fantastic matchup for him to demonstrate that 100+ point ceiling but at $7.8k we do not require that lots of points. I believe IF he wins, he readily pays off that wages.
Fade of the week — Luana Carolina — $8,900
There’s absolutely no way I am paying 8.9k for Carolina. She’s the fade of this week and if it disturbs me afterward it disturbs me. I really don’t see that being true though even if she wins. I expect this fight to keep standing and I don’t see her striking at a pace to cover off her cost without getting a finish. I really don’t think she gets that finish so even if she wins I think she scores nearer to 75 DK points and at her salary that won’t wind up on the optimal lineup. Even if I create 150 lineups this week I won’t get any vulnerability to Carolina.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight about the card and give my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my pick predictions, you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link too. I’m 76-45 to get +260.95 (+$26,095) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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