The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers both come with statement victories into this Saturdays match.
LSU moved to Texas and beat the Longhorns in week two. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. However, in this weeks matchup in Death Valley, the two teams seem to take more than a place in the race .
Floridas defense leads the solution for them. They have given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also havent given up a point from the 4th quarter since their opener. They flustered Auburn QB Bo Nix into creating several decisions since he went 11 for 27 with three INTs.
But Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a veteran quarterback and has led LSU. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in school soccer. This contains the 45 they dropped on the street on Texas.
As 13-point underdogs on BetNow the Gators come in with the roar of Death Valley anticipating. Can the No. 5 defense keep this close and cover the spread? Or will the No. 2 passing crime as well as Burrow keep rolling up and also win the wager? Heres the breakdown.
There is hardly any doubt in Burrows ability . Hes transformed into a Heisman candidate, having a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
Hes also working with one of the very best receiving groups in the nation. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for these three.
Jefferson has great length with his 63 frame, and it has mastered in some huge games. Chase is a presence on the opposite side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is an experienced goal who will fill the spot. It is all part of a passing game thats Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face by far the DB unit they have played with all season. Northwestern State is a FCS group, but here are the yards-per-attempt composed by the other opponents of LSU: Utah State 103rd, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Georgia Southern 111th.
Florida now sits at 33rd, though its safe to say they have yet to perform with a QB of Burrows caliber. They have played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson has been preseason All-American whos living up to his billing. Shawn Davis generates a lot of havoc in the secondary (111 metres on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on irregular so far at the other corner spot, but nonetheless has a high ceiling.
Burrow will confront a menacing pass-rush, which will be fully healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, believed to function as coming in to this season, is coming back from injury. With him on one side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) about the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate in their o-line will be tested.
Ever since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered by an opposing lineup while his awareness must improve from the pocket. Auburns according is possibly the best in the nation, and ranks 11th in lineup yards to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and is currently 85th in bag rate. They will rely upon blitzing LBs to help throw Trask. Even the Florida QB is certain in the pocket but is not out of it. He sprained a knee and wore a leg brace when he reentered the game.
Together with the LBs more involved in the pass-rush, All-American safety Grant Delpit should come up big in coverage. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is critical to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is most frequently considered DBU for the gift they have on the outside of their defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances that should land him around the All-Freshman group, if not more, in 2019.
Would soon be out of returning FBS corners, Kristian Fulton, that enabled the smallest sum of first downs last year. Although this group is currently in passing yards allowed per-game 69th, it will be a push if given a chance against a driven Trask.
Balance is going to be crucial as for Florida, who hasnt got their running game going however this year. broke a tackle at the point on his way. Even with that, the Florida o-line rankings 113th in line yards and also will be going up against the No. 1 d-line in terms of energy success (short-yardage scenarios ).
Even though the LSU front may not be powerful. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and thats like Perines long term and a 76-yard receiver sweep that closed from the Kentucky game.
It places a lot of pressure on Trask at a hostile environment, When they dont buy Perine or Dameon Pierce going consistently.
Florida has earned admiration from the college football world after week. And while I do not expect them to come out at Death Valley with a win against LSU, I really do see this sport staying most.
LSUs offense made amazing strides, also Burrow is just one of the QBs from the FBS. But LSU isnt likely to put up 45 or anything close to this. Their pass-rush has fully developed with Greenard wreaking chaos.
As the group has relied upon them the Gators defense will wear out with time. Marco Wilson is going to be the subject from the Chase or Jefferson into a late-game PIs.
However, I dont anticipate this before late in the fourth quarter. Keeping the game in enough of a slog till then makes Florida the wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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