This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight PPV card in Australia. DraftKings changed up their contests somewhat and I like the new choice of competitions and prizes. The most important GPP is currently a $10 buy and $30k belongs to 1st place. They also have a new Qualifier for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first place price and that $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 admissions that match. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers so be careful chasing those overly hard. I will likely stick to the top GPP this week and then throw 100 or so entries at the $30k decoration. I’ll also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a fantastic quantity of drama into cash games.
Cash Game play of the week — Shane Young ($9,100)
I’m not loving this slate to get cash games, and that I was only going to decide on the main event stack for my money game play of the week. But, I can see the major event only scoring ~100 total points and once I’m stacking I want a floor of 100 with upside of 160 or so. I have changed my stance on the stack and I think Shane Young makes a fantastic cash game play. I don’t understand how high of a ceiling he has because I do think this fight goes 3 rounds, but I do feel confident in him winning and much more confident in him not getting finished. I believe he has a top floor since this fight should move all 3 rounds, but I think he is the better fighter everywhere and I see him winning this fight with a combination of wrestling and striking. I really do think he has 100-point upside in a conclusion, and that I also think he can complete this battle. However, I feel like he’s a secure play for 80+ and that’s why he is my cash game play of the week instead of my GPP playwith. GPP play of the week — Kyung Ho Kang ($9,400)
I think the only real way Kang loses this fight is by becoming KO’d. He should be the far superior fighter around the mat, and I believe he can hang the toes as well. I expect him to search for takedowns early and often, and Ishihara does not have any ground game to compete off his back. Since Ishihara does possess heavy power in his hands I believe Kang has a floor of 0 points, but that is why he is my GPP drama of the week rather than my money game play of this week. In money, I wish to lock in higher floors and that’s not what we’ve got here. I like this more for GPPs because when he loses $9.4k it will not matter how many things he’s, we would not be cashing. In cash games, we might still come off with a gain if he lost a decision at the price and scored 30-40 points, we’d simply need to hit on our other spots. We do not want 6 wins in cash, but we do for GPP. Thus, we can take the opportunity on a 0 there because he’s 100+ upside because he will be the fighter wanting to grapple and I could see him becoming numerous takedowns as well as a submission. I believe he has a 1st or 2nd round submission and I don’t expect for him to stand too long using Ishihara. I believe Kang can outscore Adesanya in this spot and I like him as a pivot from a big name who could be popular.
Underdog play of the week — Kelvin Gastelum ($7,300)
I am actually choosing Whittaker to win this fight, but I also don’t love many/any underdogs with this card. I expect this fight to stay standing for as long as it lasts. Personally, I see this going the space and Whittaker winning a unanimous choice. If that’s true, then I believe Gastelum has the highest floor of the underdogs since he’ll have 5 rounds to function with and he’ll land a fair amount of shots. In addition, I believe if Whittaker wins a 25-minute conclusion he probably only scores 85-95 DK points. At his $8.9k salary, that may not put him on the $30k lineup. If Kelvin wins, if it be by KO or conclusion, he will almost surely be on that $30k lineup in his $7.3k salary. That is why he’s my underdog drama of the week.
Fade of this week — Sam Alvey ($7,900)
I must remain on brand with this one and select Sam Alvey as my fade of the week. I have chosen him as my fade each time he has fought so that I will roll with it again. The style Alvey brings to the table is just not beneficial for DraftKings. The only way Alvey can possibly score tremendously is by obtaining a knockout win. He fails to strike a high enough speed to score highly in a decision and he won’t be heading for any takedowns. Even if he gets a decision win here he could score 50-60 DK points and that may not be adequate to acquire a GPP, even with him being the underdog. I need at least 10x from a fighter when I roll them and together with his $7.9k price label, that means I need at least 79 DK points. I don’t see that happening and that’s the reason he is my fade of this week.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle on the card and provide my complete DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link too. I’m 54-34 for +177.13un (+$17,713) because May 19th on Premium Plays)

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